In 2020, the age profiles of Democratic and Republican voters looked largely similar to 2016. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. Winners Weekend Caption Contest Week of April, Weekend Caption Contest Week of April 14,, Trump, History and the Survival of America, Winners Weekend Caption Contest Week of March, Weekend Caption Contest Week of March 24,. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. Trump took 43% to Biden's 37%. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. In outlets with a more mixed audience, the coverage of the Biden administration was also mixed: 25% of the stories had a positive assessment, 24% had a negative one and 51% were neither positive nor negative. Three-quarters of those who get their news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences say the subject of racial equality gets too much attention, far more than among those with a mixed-audience media diet (41%) and a left-only diet (13%). In March 2020, during a . In 2020, 85% of voters who cast a ballot for Trump were White non-Hispanic; this compares with just 61% of Biden voters. Among nonvoters in 2020, 46% were Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 41% were Republicans or leaned Republican. Those who voted in 2018 but not in 2016 backed Biden over Trump in the 2020 election by about two-to-one (62% to 36%). President Joe Biden speaks with border protection police on the Bridge of the Americas border crossing between Mexico and the US in Texas this January. From January to August 2021 Biden's approval rating averaged 10-13 points higher than President Trump's during the same time period in his presidency. DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN Money - His net worth is estimated to be about$4,500,000,000. Many Americans say early media assessments of Biden administration were mostly positive, fair and accurate, 6. And among the outlets with right-leaning audiences, immigration was the most covered topic area. There are four key metrics in examining the medias coverage of the early days of a new administration: the topics of those stories, the assessments of the administration, and the framing and the sources used. Chances are this night won't. A yawning age gap in voter support a pattern that emerged in the 2004 presidential election for the first time since 1972 continues to be evident, with voters under 30 favoring Joe Biden by 24 percentage points (Biden 59%, Trump 35%). Biden and/or members of his administration were by far most likely to be cited, appearing in 82% of all stories studied including 70% of stories in outlets with right-leaning audiences. All rights reserved. This study classified stories into one of two main frames (whichever accounted for more than 50% of the story): For example, an article or segment about health care could be framed around the legislative differences in what the administration is proposing versus members of Congress (thus coded as core ideology and policy agenda). For our analysis of Americans views of news coverage, we group respondents by their news media diet. Nearly two-in-ten voters who cast a ballot for Biden in the 2020 election (19%) were Black, identical to the share of Clinton voters in 2016 who were Black. The list is fairly long and growing: Voter surveys conducted for major news organizations, including the exit polls by Edison Research for the National Election Pool and AP VoteCast by NORC at the University of Chicago for the Associated Press and Fox News; the. Voters in the youngest adult generations today Generation Z (those ages 18 to 23 in 2020) and the Millennial generation (ages 24 to 39 in 2020) favored Biden over Trump by a margin of 20 percentage points, though Trump gained 8 points among Millennials compared with his 2016 performance. See Appendix A for more about how these groups were created and for the breakdown of all of the outlets in this study and their audience classification. A women in Texas protests against Title 42 during a march in solidarity with migrants coming to the border. The Trump-Biden presidential contest. Younger voters also made up an outsize share of these voters: Those under age 30 made up 38% of new or irregular 2020 voters, though they represented just 15% of all 2020 voters. Gen Z is defined here as voters born between 1997 and 2002, Millennials were born between 1981 and 1996, Gen Xers were born between 1965 and 1980, Baby Boomers were born between 1946 and 1964, and members of the Silent Generation were born between 1928 and 1945. For those with media diets only on the left, nearly two-thirds (64%) say the coronavirus is the most covered of the five topics. But the topics that outlets gave the most attention to differed based on the ideological makeup of their audience (see box). Voters in the swing states have said that if protests continue right up to the election, that hurts Trumps chances of re-election 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trump's own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. Additionally, coverage of the early days of the Biden administration focused more on policy and agenda over leadership qualities than any other administration except for Bush. At the same time, Trumps vote share among White women without a college degree grew slightly between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Given the unusual circumstances of the Trump-Biden transition, with Trump still contesting the election results, it is perhaps unsurprising that Trump himself was mentioned in about half the stories about the new Biden administration. Among the other most common types of sources were groups focused on policy issues (such as the ACLU and Susan B. Anthony List) and/or experts (such as academics), which were cited in 32% of stories, Democratic members of Congress (27%), Republican members (23%) and other journalists or media organizations (20%). The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. For more details, see the methodology. Trump was counting on drawing blood with his attacks on Biden's family, making this into a controversy that finally pulls his front-running opponent back to earth. Overall, there were shifts in presidential candidate support among some key groups between 2016 and 2020, notably suburban voters and independents. In 2020, Biden won college-educated Hispanic voters 69% to 30%. Trump mention: Each story was analyzed for whether former President Donald Trump was mentioned. Americans who get news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences were most likely to say they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders (79%), nearly twice the share among those who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences (42%). Fully 78% of the stories from outlets with predominantly right-leaning audiences carried a negative assessment. Biden received a solid majority of votes among urban residents (66% overall), but Trump gained among urbanites relative to his performance in 2016 (33% in 2020, 24% in 2016). Still, a majority in the right-only media group say it is fair, and just under half say it is accurate (see Chapter 2 for details). Strength in my analysis will refer to positive qualities which the President possesses, Weakness will refer to negative qualities which damage his effectiveness in campaigning, Opportunities will refer to events and conditions which Trump can use to his advantage, and Threats will refer to events and conditions which could cost Trump support if he fails to address them properly. There could be more than one source within any source category, such as quotes from two members of the administration. About four-in-ten (39%) say the assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative. Honduras to switch ties from Taiwan to China, says president, Honduran environmental defenders shot dead in broad daylight, Honduras declares war against gangs and for control of popular narrative, Best of 2022: The amazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona podcast, Central America sees economic boon as migrants flow through on way to US, Were losing hope: Honduras anger as first female president fails to fulfil womens rights pledge, Theamazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona, Sell your organs to raise the ransom: the Hondurans risking kidnap and death to reach the US. Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. While Biden took a 59% majority of the Hispanic vote, Trump (with 38%) gained significantly over the level of support Republican candidates for the House received in 2018 (25%). That puts Harris' rating under . Biden, by contrast, drew strong support from religiously unaffiliated voters atheists, agnostics, and those who say their religion is nothing in particular. Together, these voters made up 25% of voters, which is a slightly larger share of the total electorate than White evangelicals (19%). Let's look at the overall sentiment. Overall, 58% of Trump voters were Protestant, compared with just 35% of Biden voters. Biden made a mistake by putting the selection of a female running-mate ahead of choosing the best person for the job it looks like a pandering move If Trump can speak and act with better leadership, he can reshape his image and regain support from voters. Also, by significant margins, those in the right-only group are likeliest to say climate policy (64%) and the COVID-19 pandemic (57%) are getting too much attention. Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Part of Trumps enduring legacy is tied to being the president who separated families at the US-Mexico border and threw kids in cages for days or weeks, often with little communication or information provided to keep track of them. One of the most pivotal groups in the 2016 election was White voters without a four-year college degree, who were critical to Trumps electoral college victory that year (nationally, he won them by a wide 36-point margin in 2016, 64% to 28%). Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish 1. Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans voted in 2020 and how their turnout and vote choices differed from 2016 and 2018. Nonvoters in 2020 were more closely divided on partisanship than they were in 2016. Biden isnt a better option why make a different choice if its not a better choice? Among white women with a college degree, support for Biden was on par with support for Clinton in 2016 (59%-40% in 2020). Initially, Biden delivered, with a flurry of executive actions and other first steps to undo Trumps crackdown. White evangelical Protestants, in particular, remained a critical part of the Republican voting coalition, making up 34% of Trumps voters but just 6% of Bidens. Those planning to vote for Trump indicated theres nothing Biden can do to win them over. Overall, 32% of stories about the Biden administration had a negative assessment, while 23% had a positive one and 45% were neither positive nor negative. The claim: Joe Biden added more jobs in a single month than Donald Trump netted during his entire term. Voters approve that Trump is for strong borders, keeping illegal immigrants out Unaccompanied children are exempt from Title 42, so some parents make the difficult choice to send their kids across the border alone, even when that means indefinite time apart. Trump gets credit from some voters for de-escalating tensions with Iran even as he confronts Iranian nuclear misconduct That framing is dramatically different from the coverage of the first few months of the Trump administration four years earlier. Americans more familiar with Biden administrations proposed minimum wage increase than vaccination goals, Appendix A: Grouping outlets by audience ideology and grouping survey respondents by media diet, Appendix B: Detailed tables comparing news coverage of the first 100 days vs. 60 days of the Trump administration in 2017, Appendix C: Content analysis detailed tables, Use of anonymous sources uncommon in early Biden coverage, least likely in outlets with right-leaning audiences, Trump mentioned in about half of Biden stories during early weeks in office, but less so over time, Immigration was a top focus of early Biden coverage, especially among outlets with right-leaning audiences, Q&A: How Pew Research Center studied press coverage of the Biden administrations early days, In a Growing Share of U.S. Marriages, Husbands and Wives Earn About the Same, Gun deaths among U.S. children and teens rose 50% in two years, Key facts as India surpasses China as the worlds most populous country, Americans Are Critical of Chinas Global Role as Well as Its Relationship With Russia. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. To work them into my analysis of Trumps situation, Bidens strengths and opportunities fall into Trumps threats, while Bidens weaknesses and threats fall into Trumps opportunities. Voters ages 65 and older stand out in their voting behavior: 55% say they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election 13 percentage points higher than the share of adults under 65 who cast a ballot by mail. Biden has soft advantages here, but these threats could keep Trump from winning critical independents and moderates in the election if he ignore them. Still, a sizable share (43%) said the November election was the first time they had cast an absentee or mail ballot. Without such broad support for Trump among White evangelicals, Biden would have beaten him by more than 20 points. 2. Most of the qualities in my analysis come directly from voter responses by voters contacted by the Swing Voter Project, a series of focus groups contacted from March 2019 to now and all the way to November 2, the day before the election. Detailed descriptions about the focus groups include the detail that these group each lasted more than two hours in length, making sure every voter in the groups got heard, and had a chance to comment on issues they felt were important, a sharp distinction from the brief-as-possible polls which limited voters to multiple-choice responses, and sometimes only an either/or choice. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. 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